posted on 2017-12-18, 15:25authored byTomokatsu Onaga, James P. Gleeson, Naoki Masuda
Social contact networks underlying epidemic processes in humans and animals are highly dynamic. The spreading of infections on such temporal networks can differ dramatically from spreading on static networks. We theoretically investigate the effects of concurrency, the number of neighbors that a node has at a given time point, on the epidemic threshold in the stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible dynamics on temporal network models. We show that network dynamics can suppress epidemics (i.e., yield a higher epidemic threshold) when the node's concurrency is low, but can also enhance epidemics when the concurrency is high. We analytically determine different phases of this concurrency-induced transition, and confirm our results with numerical simulations.
Funding
PI: MARK LEISING/CLEMSON UNIVERSITY U.S. INTEGRAL USERS GROUP CHAIR SUMMARY: TO SUPPORT MY WORK AND TRAVEL AS CHAIR OF THE U.S. INTEGRAL USERS GROUP (US-IUG). ORGANIZE AND ATTEND 2 US-LUG MEETINGS AT GODDARD SPACE FLIGHT CENTER WORK WITH THE PROJECT TO EN